Quarterly Publication
Author = Parisa Rouhi Fard
Oil and Gas Economics and Management

The Effect of Covid-19 Outbreak on Registered Oil Companies at Tehran Stock Exchange

Volume 4, Issue 4, Autumn 2020, Pages 77-87

https://doi.org/10.22050/pbr.2021.265950.1160

Mortaza Baky Haskuee, Parisa Rouhi Fard, Afrooz Farazandeh, Abdolreza Shakeri

Abstract The goal of this paper is to study the effect of Covid-19 outbreak on oil markets volatility.Covid-19 as a pandemic has a significant negative effect on global economy.  Alongside the global economy, stock markets responded to the outbreak immediately. The first case appeared in February 20 in Iran.  The outbreak has different implication for Iranian economy. Using daily data on return of oil companies registered at Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE), change in new cases integrated into the E-GARCH model as a proxy for the virus outbreak form February 20, 2020 until December 12, 2020, it applies an E-GARCH model to derive volatilities in index. To test the effect of Covid-19 outbreak on the volatilities in oil companies’ index, change in daily new cases integrated into the E-GARCH model as a proxy for the virus outbreak. The results show that, despite of fresh money pumped into the market and increase in market transactions and volume of trade, during the first phase of outbreak, Covid-19 has negatively affected returns of oil companies’ prices.